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Global Megatrends in the Automotive Industry
Author: George GILLESPIE
– The first major technology trend is a continuation of the powertrain R&D activities which have been ongoing since the mid 1970’s when California began to introduce exhaust gas emissions legislation and over the past 40 years we have seen a complete re-engineering of the internal combustion engine as the industry has made remarkable advances in combustion control and exhaust gas after treatment technologies. Clearly HORIBA has played a major role in this decarbonisation revolution with a series of industry leading gas and particulate measurement systems. The drive to reduce the use of carbon based fuels has migrated into a drive to electrify some or all of the vehicle propulsion system and with California again leading the way there is a determination now to legislate that 100% of the vehicle fl eet must be Zero Emissions Vehicles (ZEV) by 2050. Given the average 17 years to completely replace the vehicle fl eet means that all new vehicles being produced by around 2035 will need to be ZEVs. This is an enormous change from the current ZEV production levels of less than 2% globally. The opportunity for HORIBA is to support this electrifi cation activity with testing solutions for full electric drivelines combined with the development of on board power sources such as battery packs and fuel cells.